Bush is winning--in 60 words

The winner will hold his own states and poach some of the other guy's. (14 words)

Both Pres. Bush and Sen. Kerry are campaigning in "blue" (reliably Democratic) and tossup states. (15 words)

Deductions: (1) Bush is confident of holding his own states and thinks he can grab some of Kerry's; and (2) Kerry is fighting to hold onto his own base. (27 words)

Conclusion: Bush is winning. (4 words)